Lanzhou Longyuan Athletics vs Ganzhou Ruishi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
4º
35
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
35 | 17 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 0
QYF
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 0
RZY
49%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
RZY
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
RZY
3 - 1
HSF
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 1
RZY
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ganzhou Ruishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SSP
3 - 1
TTF
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
XIR
1 - 1
SSP
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 1
WCH
61%
19%
20%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BIT
0 - 1
SSP
42%
23%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 1
RZY
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |