Riverside Olympic vs Hobart Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
78.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riverside Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MCS
0 - 1
ROF
27%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
DON
2 - 3
ROF
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
ROF
0 - 1
ULV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HOB
4 - 2
NOR
91%
7%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
HOB
5 - 3
SOU
16%
16%
68%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HOB
5 - 0
NOR
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
HOB
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 0
HOB
8%
14%
78%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |