Ríver vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
PAR
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 5
RIV
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
PIA
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
4DE
1 - 2
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLA
7 - 1
CAI
73%
16%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FLA
5 - 2
PAR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +5 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
CAC
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 1
PIC
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |