River Plate II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOC
2 - 4
RIV
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 2
RIV
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
RAC
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
COL
41%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |