River Plate II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
RIV
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
GOC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
NOB
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GOC
3 - 1
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |