Guayaquil City vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 1
RIV
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
FAM
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 0
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
UCE
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIG
4 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
IVT
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
CUE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |