Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
EME
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
51%
22%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |