Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
AUC
26%
28%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 0
RIV
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 1
RIV
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
TEC
3 - 2
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 1
IVT
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 3
CUE
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 1
TEC
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |