Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 0
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
MAC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 2
RIV
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 3
LIG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
IVT
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 2
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |