Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
EME
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DEL
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 2
RIV
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 0
CUE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 0
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 2
MUN
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
IVT
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |