Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
EME
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BSC
2 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CUE
1 - 0
IVT
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 2
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |