Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
BSC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 1
MUS
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 2
EME
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 0
IVT
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |