Guayaquil City vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 0
MUN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 2
UTC
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
UTC
4 - 3
RIV
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 0
ROC
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TEC
2 - 2
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
LOJ
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LOJ
2 - 2
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
TEC
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |