Club River Plate vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
RPA
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
RPA
1 - 1
12O
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
RPA
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
RPA
0 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
RPA
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
SPT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
SPC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
12O
1 - 4
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
IND
3 - 1
TAC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |