Club River Plate vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SDP
1 - 1
RPA
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RPA
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
5 - 0
RPA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RPA
0 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RES
3 - 0
RPA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
CAC
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 3
SPO
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
29D
1 - 0
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |