Club River Plate vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CER
6 - 0
RPA
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RPA
4 - 0
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RPA
2 - 0
DEP
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
RPA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RPA
2 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
DEP
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 2
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
SPC
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
SPT
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |