River Ega vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 4
RIV
5%
10%
85%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
ALU
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 4
RIV
8%
12%
80%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 1
MUS
91%
7%
2%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AZK
4 - 3
RIV
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 3
ZAR
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 0
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 8
CDC
7%
15%
78%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 3
ALU
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 3
CDC
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | +1 |