Ritzing vs Oberwart / Rotenturm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
8º
4º
74
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
RIT
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RIT
1 - 0
STM
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
RIT
4 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KLI
2 - 3
RIT
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RIT
2 - 3
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Oberwart / Rotenturm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OBR
1 - 0
BAS
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KLI
0 - 3
OBR
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
OBR
3 - 2
HOR
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
1 - 4
OBR
5%
11%
84%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
OBR
3 - 2
PIN
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |