Ritzing vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
VIE
3 - 0
RIT
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
RIT
3 - 3
EIS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 3
AUS
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FCW
2 - 2
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 1
ADM
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |