Riska vs Vard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
RFK
2 - 3
BRY
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AIL
0 - 1
RFK
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RFK
3 - 0
VBK
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
4 - 2
RFK
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RFK
1 - 2
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
RAN
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAU
1 - 2
VAR
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
KIL
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RFK
1 - 2
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAI
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |