Risca United vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 3
RIS
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
RIS
4 - 0
POR
15%
20%
64%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
2 - 2
RIS
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 1
RIS
48%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIS
4 - 0
GAR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
TAF
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAL
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CWM
4 - 0
TAF
29%
23%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 1
LID
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAF
2 - 1
HAV
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |