Risca United vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 4
GOY
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIS
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
RIS
2 - 1
CWM
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LID
2 - 1
RIS
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 2
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAL
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CWM
2 - 1
GOY
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
GOY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
HAV
2 - 2
GOY
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GOY
5 - 2
MON
79%
13%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |