Risca United vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAF
3 - 2
RIS
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 5
GOY
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 4
GOY
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIS
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CWM
6 - 4
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 5
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
5 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UND
2 - 3
CAE
17%
18%
65%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |