Risca United vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TON
4 - 1
RIS
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAE
15%
17%
69%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAF
3 - 2
RIS
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 5
GOY
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
BAR
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CWM
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LID
1 - 2
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |