Risca United vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
RIS
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
RIS
1 - 2
GAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
GAR
2 - 0
RIS
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 7
MER
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 2
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 3
UND
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
PRE
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |