Risca United vs Aberbargoed Buds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LID
2 - 1
RIS
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 3
RIS
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
RIS
1 - 1
CWM
37%
22%
42%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RIS
1 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
RIS
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LID
2 - 1
ABE
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
ABE
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
2 - 0
POR
20%
18%
61%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |