Riograndense SM vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riograndense SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
PEL
16%
24%
61%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 5
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
ISM
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ISM
1 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
ISM
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |