Rio Claro vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
FER
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
PEN
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |