Rio Branco SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
DES
1 - 3
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
DES
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 3
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
4 - 0
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 1
USA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
ITA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ITA
0 - 0
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MON
4 - 2
LEM
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ECN
2 - 2
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |