Rio Branco SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
RIO
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 2
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
AUD
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
MON
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MON
5 - 1
SAO
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |