Rio Branco SP vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAT
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
4 - 1
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
0 - 0
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
TAU
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |