Rio Branco PR vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +1 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 2
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
JMA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
0 - 0
CIA
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |