Rio Branco PR vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
LON
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LON
1 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
3 - 2
FRB
78%
14%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAX
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CAX
3 - 2
ECS
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CAX
0 - 3
SCI
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAX
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |