Rio Branco PR vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 3
CIA
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
OPE
2 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
FOZ
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ROL
4 - 2
ACP
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
ACP
4 - 2
IRA
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ACP
0 - 4
PST
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 0
ACP
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 1
ACP
48%
23%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |