Rio Branco PR vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
OPE
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
7 - 1
RIO
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 2
ATP
12%
20%
67%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
CIA
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
IRA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |