Rio Ave vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
TON
60%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
RIO
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
TRO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |