Rio Ave vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
RIO
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
VST
44%
27%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPB
5 - 1
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
PAÇ
24%
27%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
PAÇ
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |