Rio Ave vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 2
RIO
24%
28%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 2
RIO
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
PAÇ
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 0
RIO
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
EST
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
TON
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |