Rio Ave U23 vs Braga U23 analysis


38	ELO	44
-5.2%	Tilt	-10.1%
7804º	General ELO ranking	5961º
179º	Country ELO ranking	124º
ELO win probability

37.1%

Rio Ave U23

26.4%

Draw

36.5%

Braga U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%

26.4%

Draw

0-0

7.4%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.4%

36.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-14%

-18%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

21

6º

8º

30

1º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	35	24	1º	100%
3º	30	24	2º	100%
4º	28	23	3º	100%
2º	30	22	4º	100%
5º	26	18	5º	100%
7º	23	17	6º	100%
6º	24	14	7º	100%
8º	21	13	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rio Ave U23

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Jan. 2025	POR 0 - 2 RIO 55% 22% 23%	37	40	3	0
14 Jan. 2025	RIO 4 - 5 SAN 45% 22% 33%	38	38	0	-1
06 Jan. 2025	FAR 2 - 1 RIO 54% 23% 23%	38	42	4	0
18 Dec. 2024	RIO 0 - 3 GIL 34% 24% 41%	40	45	5	-2
10 Dec. 2024	RIO 1 - 1 TOR 38% 26% 37%	39	45	6	+1

Matches

Braga U23

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Jan. 2025	BRA 3 - 0 LEX 70% 18% 13%	43	32	11	0
10 Jan. 2025	ACV 2 - 2 BRA 57% 22% 21%	42	46	4	+1
06 Jan. 2025	BRA 2 - 1 MAF 50% 23% 27%	41	39	2	+1
18 Dec. 2024	TOR 1 - 0 BRA 50% 25% 25%	42	45	3	-1
11 Dec. 2024	VIZ 3 - 1 BRA 54% 24% 22%	43	48	5	-1