Ringsted vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ringsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
RIN
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RIN
1 - 5
OTB
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 1
RIN
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RIN
1 - 1
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
RIN
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AAR
0 - 2
NAE
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SLA
5 - 2
AAR
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 1
KFU
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 5
AAR
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 3
TAA
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |