Rincón vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
84.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.8%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rincón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RDC
0 - 1
CPA
35%
22%
44%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 0
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
CSM
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |