Rimini vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
RIM
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
RIM
0 - 2
ACL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RIM
55%
23%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 2
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |