Rimini vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 1
RIM
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 1
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 3
RIM
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 0
PER
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
RIM
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
REN
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
SAS
21%
25%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |