Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-3
HNK Rijeka vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HUN
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HUN
0 - 0
RIJ
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
TRI
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 0
RIJ
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
SHF
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
1 - 2
DJU
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
ELF
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 1
MJÄ
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAF
2 - 5
ELF
40%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |