FK RFS vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
7º
1º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 1
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 1
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 1
RIG
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
FSM
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
FSM
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |