FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
LAR
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKJ
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 3
RIG
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
VAL
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 3
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |