Rigas FS II vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
3º
16
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 25 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 22 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
OUD
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
RFA
2 - 1
SMI
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SMI
19%
17%
64%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SMI
5 - 0
AUG
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
5 - 3
SMI
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
39%
20%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |