Rigas FS II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+215%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
12º
5º
29
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 57 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 11.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
KFV
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 0
SKA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
SMI
3 - 1
OUD
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 3
OUD
14%
18%
69%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 3
OUD
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
4 - 1
TUK
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
RFA
0 - 3
OUD
33%
22%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |