Rigas FS II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
12º
5º
30
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 57 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 0
SKA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
RIG
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 1
SMI
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 2
KFV
17%
20%
64%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 3
KFV
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
1 - 1
OUD
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |