Rigas FS II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
2º
30
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
RFA
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 2
RIG
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
ALB
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
KFV
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
ALB
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 0
KFV
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RFS
1 - 2
KFV
17%
19%
65%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |